ANALYTICS
Article: The Economist Nov 8th 2018 edition - Which countries are most likely to fight wars?
Data Source: The Economist GitHub
The third-order polynomial equations is selected to predict the probability of fighting a war in a given year
country_involved_in_conflict ~ wealth + wealth^2 + wealth^3).
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = country_involved_in_conflict ~ log2_interpolated_gdp_per_capita +
## log2_interpolated_gdp_per_capita_squared + log2_interpolated_gdp_per_capita_cubed,
## family = "binomial", data = df)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -0.5177 -0.5000 -0.4613 -0.3996 2.8354
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
## (Intercept) 4.216077 8.333871 0.506 0.6129
## log2_interpolated_gdp_per_capita -2.823157 2.136572 -1.321 0.1864
## log2_interpolated_gdp_per_capita_squared 0.342850 0.180959 1.895 0.0581
## log2_interpolated_gdp_per_capita_cubed -0.012530 0.005063 -2.475 0.0133
##
## (Intercept)
## log2_interpolated_gdp_per_capita
## log2_interpolated_gdp_per_capita_squared .
## log2_interpolated_gdp_per_capita_cubed *
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for binomial family taken to be 1)
##
## Null deviance: 11015 on 17094 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 10852 on 17091 degrees of freedom
## AIC: 10860
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 6
The data file used in this wrangler task was retrieved from UN Member State Admission Dates source which was published by the United Nations Meetings Coverages and Press Releases website.